Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.000530 0.000613 0.000702 0.000803 0.000916 0.001036 0.001174
2025-06-29 0.000395 0.000507 0.000636 0.000794 0.000981 0.001193 0.001450
2025-07-06 0.000319 0.000441 0.000589 0.000778 0.001011 0.001285 0.001629
2025-07-13 0.000278 0.000409 0.000575 0.000796 0.001078 0.001420 0.001860
2025-07-20 0.000243 0.000380 0.000560 0.000808 0.001134 0.001538 0.002070
2025-07-27 0.000208 0.000345 0.000533 0.000799 0.001159 0.001617 0.002232
2025-08-03 0.000178 0.000312 0.000503 0.000784 0.001173 0.001679 0.002371
2025-08-10 0.000159 0.000294 0.000493 0.000794 0.001219 0.001782 0.002564
2025-08-17 0.000141 0.000274 0.000479 0.000795 0.001252 0.001868 0.002736
2025-08-24 0.000119 0.000246 0.000447 0.000769 0.001244 0.001897 0.002832
2025-08-31 0.000100 0.000221 0.000419 0.000744 0.001237 0.001925 0.002926
2025-09-07 0.000089 0.000206 0.000406 0.000742 0.001260 0.001996 0.003077
2025-09-14 0.000078 0.000192 0.000393 0.000740 0.001285 0.002070 0.003238
2025-09-21 0.000068 0.000177 0.000377 0.000730 0.001297 0.002125 0.003374
2025-09-28 0.000058 0.000161 0.000358 0.000715 0.001300 0.002166 0.003489
2025-10-05 0.000054 0.000157 0.000359 0.000732 0.001353 0.002283 0.003714
2025-10-12 0.000049 0.000151 0.000356 0.000744 0.001397 0.002386 0.003921
2025-10-19 0.000043 0.000140 0.000343 0.000735 0.001408 0.002440 0.004058
2025-10-26 0.000037 0.000128 0.000327 0.000721 0.001409 0.002478 0.004171
2025-11-02 0.000033 0.000123 0.000324 0.000730 0.001448 0.002574 0.004372
2025-11-09 0.000030 0.000117 0.000317 0.000731 0.001473 0.002651 0.004545
2025-11-16 0.000025 0.000105 0.000297 0.000706 0.001454 0.002657 0.004610
2025-11-23 0.000020 0.000094 0.000279 0.000684 0.001437 0.002664 0.004678